Adjustment to the fuel price: Wednesday, 3 November 2010

Product

Petrol (ALL GRADES): 20.000 cents per litre increase in retail price
Diesel 0.05% Sulphur: 11.000 cents per litre increase in wholesale price
Diesel 0.005% Sulphur: 12.000 cents per litre increase in wholesale price
Illuminating Paraffin (Wholesale): 14.000 cents per litre increase in wholesale price
Illuminating Paraffin (SMNRP): 18.000 c/l increase in the Single Maximum National Retail price (SMNRP)
Maximum Retail Price for LPGAS: 32.000 cents per kilogram increase in the maximum retail price

Economic factors affecting the unit over/under-recoveries for the period 1 October 2010 to 28 October 2010

During the period under review, the average international product prices of petrol, diesel and illuminating paraffin increased.

The average Rand/US Dollar exchange rate strengthened when compared to the previous period. The average Rand/US Dollar exchange rate for the period 1 October 2010 to 28 October 2010 was 6.9374 compared to 7.1859 during the previous period. The appreciation of the Rand against the US Dollar cushioned fuel price increases to be effected in November 2010 by just more than 15c/l on petrol and by just more than 16c/l on diesel and illuminating paraffin.

Single Maximum National Retail Price For Illuminating Paraffin (SMNRP)

The Single Maximum National Retail Price for Illuminating Paraffin changes on a monthly basis and is promulgated in the Government Gazette. The Single Maximum National Retail Price for the period 3 November 2010 to 30 November 2010 will be 697.0c/l compared to 679.0c/l for the period 6 October 2010 to 2 November 2010 that is an increase of 18.00c/l.

Maximum LPGAS refinery gate price

The maximum refinery gate price will be R5 414.20 per metric ton (300.48 c/l), excluding VAT, for the period 3 November 2010 to 30 November 2010.

Price adjustment

In terms of the agreed mechanism: 

  • Price changes are adjusted in such a manner that the over- or under-recovery during the prior month will be corrected in the following month; and
  • The unit over- or under-recoveries are rounded up or down to the nearest full cent so that the effect of rounding contributes to the clearing of the cumulative balance of the individual products on the slate.
  • In order to manage a negative balance in the Cumulative over/(under) recovery account (theSlate), a Self-Adjusting Slate Levy Mechanism (SLM) was implemented with effect from 7 January 2009 (the SLM is available on the website of the Department of Minerals and Energy). A Slate levy will only be applicable on all petrol and diesel grades if the Slate balance is negative (cumulative under recovery) by more than R250.0 million.

Breakdown of price adjustment

The price adjustments in (1) above are based on the following actual data:



Petrol 95 ULP

Diesel 0.05 (%) Diesel 0.005(%)

Illuminating Paraffin

LPGAS (Gauteng, Zone 9C)

The price adjustments in (1) above are based on the following actual data:

     

Average product over/(under)-recovery, measured for the 25 days from 27/08/2010 to30/09/2010 (cents / litre) as detailed below.


( 20.497)


( 11.760)


( 12.302)

( 13.613)


Cumulative positive/(negative) slate balances end of August 2010 (R-million)


891.133


313.266

313.266

( 100.545)

 

The price adjustments consist of the following elements


c/


c/l


c/l


c/l

 

Average product over/(under)-recovery rounded to the nearest full cent for price (increase) / decrease


( 20.000)


( 11.000)


( 12.000)


( 14.000)


LPGas BFP, Retail and VAT (increase)/decrease



   

( 32.000)

Total price (increase) / decrease 


( 20.000)


( 11.000)


( 12.000)


( 14.000)


( 32.000)

Report of the independent auditors

The report of the independent auditors is available on request.

Analysis of the elements that resulted in the BFP over/(under)-recoveries

The over/(under)-recoveries for the period under review wereaffected by the factors set out below, which can be quantified as follows:


Petrol  c/l

Diesel 0.05 (%)
c/l

Diesel 0.005(%)
c/l

Illuminating Paraffin c/l

Govement in international product prices

(35.940)

 

(27.989)

(28.677)

(29.696)

Movement in exchange rate

15.443

16.229

16.375

16.083

BFP Over/(under)-recovery for the period 27/08/2010 to 30/09/2010

(20.497)

(11.760)

(12.302)

(13.613)


Composition of the maximum retail prices for LPGAS at the coast (ZONE 1A) and in the inland area (ZONE 9C) in cents per kilogram



CoastZone 1A

Inland Zone 9C

Price element

541.420

541.420

Maximum refinery gate price 

37.120

175.960

Primary transport costs

 343.000  343.000

Operating expenses

343.000

343.000

Working capital

26.000

26.000

Depreciation

126.000

126.000

Gross margin: Cylinder-filling plant

161.000

161.000

Sub-total (1)

1 234.540

1 373.380

Retail Margin: (15% of Subtotal (1))

  185.181


206.007

 

Sub-total (2)

1 419.721

1 579.387

Value Added Tax (14% Sub-total (2))

MaximumRetailPrice(Roundedtofullcents)

198.761

1 618.000

198.761

221.114

Annexure

The annexure attached contains details of the composition of product prices as well as history of the price changes.

Annexure 1

Composition of the retail price of petrol and the wholesale prices for diesel and IP in Gauteng for the period 03/11/2010 to  30/11/2010 will be as follows:

 

Petrol 95 ULP c/l

Petrol 93 ULP & LRP c/l

Diesel 0.05% S c/l

Diesel 0.005% S c/l

Illuminating Paraffin c/l

Wholesale margin

51.087

50.868

50.860

50.860

51.072

Service cost recoveries

10.800

10.800

10.800

10.800

18.200

Storage, handling & delivery costs

10.800

10.800

10.800

10.800

10.800

Distribution cost

0

0

0

0

7.400

Dealers margin

72.700

72.700

0

0

0

Zone differential in Gauteng

15.500

15.500

15.500

15.500

29.800

IP Tracer levy

0

0

0.010

0.010

0

Fuel levy

167.500

167.500

152.500

152.500

0

Customs & excise duty

4.000

4.000

4.000

4.000 0

 

RAF levy

72.000

72.000

72.000

72.000

0

Petroleum Products levy

0.150

0.150

0.150

0.150

0

Slate levy

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

DSML

10.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

Equalisation Fund Levy

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

Transport Recovery levy

3.000

3.000

3.000

3.000

 

Pump Rounding

0.200

0.200

 

 

 

Sub-total

406.937

396.718

308.820

308.820

99.072

Contribution to the Basic Fuel Price

410.063

405.282

429.630

431.030

427.128

Retail Price

832.00

816.00

 

 

 

Wholesale price

 


746.45

750.85

 534.20

Statistics of price change 

 

Petrol 95 ULP

Diesel

Illuminating Paraffin

LPGAS

Effective from:

Gauteng SA c/l

Coast SA c/l

Gauteng SA c/l

Coast SA c/l

Gauteng SA c/l

Coast SA c/l

Gauteng SA c/kg

Coast SA c/kg

 

 

 

From 4 January 2006 0,05% Sulphur

 

 

 

 

03-Dec-08

735.00

711.00

822.30

808.50

628.00

604.10

 

 

07-Jan-09

601.00

576.00

654.35

639.65

496.70

467.60

 

 

04-Feb-09

662.00

637.00

649.35

634.65

482.70

453.60

 

 

04-Mar-09

707.00

682.00

611.35

596.65

456.70

427.60

 

 

01-Apr-09

738.00

713.00

650.85

636.15

451.70

422.60

 

 

06-May-09

735.00

710.00

658.85

644.15

464.70

435.60

 

 

03-Jun-09

750.00

727.00

645.95

632.65

455.70

426.60

 

 

01-Jul-09

790.00

767.00

685.95

672.65

501.70

472.60

 

 

05-Aug-09

769.00

746.00

665.95

652.65

487.70

458.60

 

 

02-Sep-09

805.00

782.00

700.95

687.65

508.70

479.60

 

 

07-Oct-09

765.00

742.00

668.45

655.15

481.20

452.10

 

 

04-Nov-09

765.00

742.00

678.45

665.15

495.20

466.10

 

 

02-Dec-09

792.00

769.00

703.45

690.15

524.20

495.10

 

 

06-Jan-10

786.00

763.00

689.45

676.15

512.20

483.10

 

 

03-Feb-10

804.00

781.00

699.45

686.15

517.20

488.10

 

 

03-Mar-10

810.00

787.00

703.45

690.15

515.20

486.10

 

 

07-Apr-10

858.00

835.00

751.95

738.65

536.20

507.10

 

 

05-May-10

872.00

848.00

781.45

767.65

566.20

538.10

 

 

02-Jun-10

845.00

821.00

766.45

752.65

553.20

525.10

 

 

14-Jul-10

827.00

803.00

751.45

737.65

541.20

513.10

1 727.00

1 569.00

04-Aug-10

817.00

793.00

738.45

724.65

526.20

498.10

1 801.00

1 619.00

01-Sep-10 807.00 783.00 738.45 724.65  521.20 493.10 1 775.00 1 593.00
06-Oct-10 812.00 788.00 735.45 721.65 520.20 492.10 1 768.00 1 586.00
03-Nov-10 832.00 808.00 746.45 732.65 534.20 506.10 1 800.00 1 618.00

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